Mobile biometric authentication will support $2 trillion in sales by 2023

A new study from Juniper Research forecasts that mobile biometrics will authenticate $2 trillion worth of in-store and remote mobile payment transactions annually by 2023. That is 17 times the $124 billion expected in 2018, as initiatives furthering secure remote payment transactions and more open biometric platforms proliferate.

The research, Mobile Payment Security: Biometric Authentication & Tokenisation 2018-2023, expects this growth to be driven both by industry standardisation initiatives, like Visa’s Secure Remote Commerce, and smartphone vendors introducing different forms of biometric authentication.

  • The fastest growth will come from biometrically-verified remote m-commerce transactions, reaching over 48 billion in volume by 2023 or 57% of all biometric transactions, up from an estimated 28% in 2018.
  • Over 80% of smartphones will have some form of biometric hardware by 2023, representing just over 5 billion smartphones.
  • Facial recognition and iris scanning will become more prominent over the next 5 years, with adoption exceeding 1 billion devices.

Juniper’s report estimates that nearly 90% of smartphones currently in use can support software-based facial recognition, while 80% are capable of voice-based payments. Juniper believes that these services, as well as tracking user behaviour, will enable secure cloud-based identity checks that are cross-platform and authenticate in the background. The research forecasts over 1.5 billion smartphones to use software-based biometrics by 2023.

The possibilities for software-based continuous behavioural biometric authentication are huge. The flexible programming allows businesses to deploy any level of authentication they require relatively easily, while ensuring that transactions are properly authenticated.

Juniper analyst and research author, James Moar